Did the line move your way.

Any single bet can win on a bad price or lose on a great one — short-run results tell you almost nothing about whether you're betting well. Where the price goes after you take it is different: if the market keeps moving toward your side, you were early to something. If it moves away, you were late.

This tool compares your price against the last price Whet archived for that prop. It is worth saying plainly what that is not: of every graded pick, only about 1.5% has an archived price from before the game started, and the typical one lands about an hour into play. So this is line movement, not closing line value — a real signal, under its real name.

Is this closing line value (CLV)?

No, and it would be easy to call it that. CLV compares your price to the market's final price before kickoff. This tool compares it to the last price Whet archived for that prop, and of every graded pick only about 1.5% has an archived price from before the game started — the typical one lands roughly an hour into play. Same arithmetic, different reference point, so it gets its own name: line movement.

Why probability points instead of odds?

Odds gaps mislead: -110 to -125 and +400 to +350 are very different moves in probability terms. Converting both prices to de-vigged probabilities and differencing them puts every market on the same scale.

Why can't it find my bet?

It looks up prices the scanner actually archived. If it wasn't tracking that player, stat, line, and date, there's nothing to compare against — the tool says so instead of interpolating a price it never saw.

The line moved my way but the bet lost. Did I do something wrong?

No — that's variance. A favourable move means you got a better price than the market later offered; single results are noise. It matters as a trend across many bets, never as a verdict on one.