Hedge it, and know the exact number.

Every hedge is the same transaction: you sell your remaining upside at the market's current price, minus the vig. When your original ticket has gained value — the line moved toward you — that sale can secure a real profit on both outcomes. When it hasn't, the “hedge” is just paying the book twice. The calculator doesn't editorialize; it shows the net number, lime or red, and you decide whether the certainty is worth it.

How is the hedge stake calculated?

The calculator sets the total return equal on both outcomes: hedge stake = original stake × original decimal odds ÷ hedge decimal odds. With equal returns and a fixed total outlay, the net result is identical whichever side wins.

When does hedging make sense?

Mostly when the line has moved your way — a futures ticket whose team made the final, or a live position the market now agrees with. Hedging a bet the moment after you place it just pays the vig twice.

Why is my 'net result either way' negative?

Because the two prices together don't cover the vig — you're buying certainty at a cost. Sometimes that's still the right call (capping a worst case), but the calculator shows the real number instead of pretending every hedge is free money.

Should I always hedge for equal profit?

Equal profit is one choice, not a law. You can hedge partially and keep some upside, or not hedge at all if you still like the original position — hedging surrenders EV for lower variance. This tool shows the equal-profit case so you know the baseline.