Free tool
Hedge it, and know the exact number.
Your original bet plus the live odds on the other side: the calculator returns the hedge stake that makes the result identical either way, and what that result is.
$190.91
Hedge stake
$290.91
Total at risk
$59.09
Net result either way: the same whether the original bet or the hedge wins.
A hedge trades upside for certainty: you give up EV (the vig on the second bet) to remove variance. Prices move constantly; recheck the live odds right before placing either side. Not betting advice.
Certainty has a price.
Every hedge is the same transaction: you sell your remaining upside at the market's current price, minus the vig. When the line has moved toward you and your original ticket has gained value, that sale can secure a real profit on both outcomes. When it hasn't, the “hedge” is just paying the book twice. The calculator doesn't editorialize; it shows the net number, lime or red, and you decide whether the certainty is worth it.
Common questions.
- How is the hedge stake calculated?
- The calculator sets the total return equal on both outcomes: hedge stake = original stake × original decimal odds ÷ hedge decimal odds. With equal returns and a fixed total outlay, the net result is identical whichever side wins.
- When does hedging make sense?
- Mostly when the line has moved your way: a futures ticket whose team made the final, or a live position the market now agrees with. Hedging a bet the moment after you place it just pays the vig twice.
- Why is my 'net result either way' negative?
- Because the two prices together don't cover the vig. You're buying certainty at a cost. Sometimes that's still the right call (capping a worst case), but the calculator shows the real number instead of pretending every hedge is free money.
- Should I always hedge for equal profit?
- Equal profit is one choice, not a law. You can hedge partially and keep some upside, or not hedge at all if you still like the original position. Hedging surrenders EV for lower variance. This tool shows the equal-profit case so you know the baseline.
The board runs the same math on every market, all day, and shows what clears the bar. Every pick graded in public.
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One scored pick a day, in your inbox before the game. No card, no login.
Better prices, better hedges.
The tighter your entry price, the more a hedge secures. The board finds the prices that beat the market's fair line in the first place.
