Whet for NBA.

Every game, priced live.

The record

Read live from the same public ledger as every sport, wins and losses.

What is priced

The moneyline, the spread, the total, quarter and half lines, alternate lines, team totals and player props, before tip and in play.

On the board

Every NBA bet type Whet prices is on All Picks and Just Bet, each pick judged on its own chance and price, with nothing held back for a record to build first. The record builds in the open where you can watch it.

Most Likely

Most Likely is different: it shows the market's own chance at 70% or more, and replayed over last season, the NBA sides it rated about 74% won 74%. A player who does not play is voided, the way the books void it.

Market-quality gates, the same five as every sport.

The method

Whet does not price a basketball game from box scores. It prices the market against itself, and every NBA price has to pass the tests every other price passes.

Two-way consensus

The fair line is built only from books quoting both sides of the market. A market nobody prices on both sides is skipped.

Three independent books, minimum

The best price has to be one at least three independent books agree on, within two points of implied probability. One book quoting an outlier is an error, not an edge. Fitted on 21,782 graded MLB picks.

Stale-price penalty

On player props, a quote more than 15 cents off the consensus is marked stale and scored down, not dropped. Game lines are not stale-checked.

Minimum edge

3% EV on player props, 2% on spreads, totals and moneylines. Below that the vig eats it.

Injury gate

The injury gate: props for players ruled out are removed before your board renders.

No private bar

Steals, blocks and turnovers get no extra bar of their own. Each pick on those three is judged the way every other prop is: on its own chance and its own price.

No pace adjustment, no back-to-back filter.

What this page used to say

This page used to describe a back-to-back filter dropping high-usage players around 10%, a pace adjustment blending both teams' possessions weighted toward the last ten games, a teammate-injury model reassigning usage to the player who historically absorbs it, and a blowout filter keyed to the Vegas spread. The thresholds exist in the code. The data they read has never been connected to the scanner, so all of them take their defaults and change nothing. They have been removed from this page rather than left up as a description of the product.

If we build them

If we build them properly, they will show up here with a graded record attached, the same as everything else on this site.

Common questions.